The forecast is for sunny skies with light winds, which is a nice outlook for the long weekend.
For Friday, the winds will be very light and crossed from the south, so later in the day after the sun has come around to the west face will make for some nice conditions. We may even be lucky to have enough energy for a glassoff. However, with the prevailing winds crossed from the south the lift may be light and it may be hard to stay up. It will likely be a mix of thermals or bunched up ridge soaring/thermaling at the northern end of the Mt Blackheath cliffs. Blue skies all day, but the forecast trace says it is unlikely to be inverted, just doesn't get quite hot enough to reach cloud base and climbs will be slow.
Saturday looks like the winds will mix down from late morning with the wind right on the face from the West. This could make it easy to stay up all afternoon. There should be a nice cloud-base of around 8000 - 9000 feet during the middle of the day. I would expect a nice glassoff in the evening.
Sunday is still a bit far off, but looks to be a repeat of Saturday.
Monday is too far off for now, but BOM is forecasting more unstable weather. Might end up being the best day of all four. But that is me daydreaming a bit...
So for me Saturday and Sunday afternoons are the best pick for most likely chance of flying for all, I just I hope i can be a part of it too. Low chance of being blown out but still possible if the thermals are strong.
I will try and post an update over the weekend. The forecast is really only good for tomorrow and the day after.
Alex.
